First of all, I'd like to wish everyone a very happy new year! 2014 has been a very good year for me, although not for the box office! This year was down 5% on 2013's record breaking year and the least amount of tickets were sold since 1995. Still, The Hobbit: The Battle Of The Five Armies will end up being the 3rd highest grossing film of 2014 domestically, and ranked 2nd worldwide, which is a great result.
BOTFA grossed $6 million on New Years Eve to remain in first place at the daily box office for the final day of the year. It was down 25% from Tuesday's gross, which is more than The Return Of The King's 22% decline, however BOTFA's Wednesday's gross was virtually unchanged from its Christmas Eve gross a week ago, as was ROTK's.
The Battle of The Five Armies in 2014
On Wednesday 17th December 2014, the last movie in The Hobbit film trilogy opened to $24.5 million, exactly 9 years after the opening day of the last movie in the Lord Of The Rings film trilogy. It opened 29% below the $34.5 million of The Return Of The King, by the end of its opening weekend is was pacing 28% behind ROTK's five-day frame, after its first 10 days it was 25% behind, and now, after 15 days its $189.5 million running total is 24% behind the $249.5 million 15 day total of ROTK's. This shows that The Battle Of The Five Armies is holding up better than ROTK, which puts it firmly on track for a $280+ million total. However, The Lord of The Rings movies held up better than the previous Hobbit films in January, so BOTFA's final cume largely depends on how well it holds up in January.
BOTFA is currently running on the high end of pre-release expectations and it looks to make another $100 million before the end of its run, which would be a fantastic result for the movie. It won't match An Unexpected Journey's $303 million, but it should earn considerably more than The Desolation of Smaug's $258 million. Internationally, China may provide The Hobbit with the boost to push it over the $1 billion mark, joining ROTK and AUJ.
Pre-release estimates: $230-$300 million
Current prediction: $285 million
Worldwide: $1 billion
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